As the U.S. inches closer and closer to losing its superpower and world reserve currency status, its peripheries will come under increasing strain -- i.e. Israel, Taiwan, Japan, South Korea, control over Europe, etc. The U.S. population has no appetite for another boots-on-ground Middle Eastern war after the disasters of Afghanistan and Iraq, no matter how hard Fox News tries to shill it onto the retarded masses. Also, the West seems to have no counter to cheap drones at this point, and Iran is the master of them (and hence their proxies are benefitting).
Furthermore, Israel is unable to decisively win a war against its neighbors because the illusion that Hamas/Hezbollah are somehow divorced from the population that supports them is completely nonsensical, yet Israel cannot punish the non-combatant populations without incurring a level of PR hits that could put its existence at risk (given it basically relies fully on the U.S. for its existence). It's best possibility would be to push the Gazan population out of Gaza, but no one wants to take them given how difficult they are (see the instability in Egypt, Jordan, Lebanon etc. that they cause). Not a single Middle East country will offer the Palestinians citizenship or refuge, and it would be beyond foolish for the West to try to take them in.
Definitely a grim situation for Israel moving forward.
I found it very easy to predict their use in this fashion as did many teenage boys in this country from the very beginning of the drone development. So did our venerable and, oh, so very trustworthy FBI. 🤣
The world would more readily take in Israeli Jews rather than Palestinians, that's for sure. I'd expect there'd be competition among the US and Western European countries to take them in. The US could absorb them all without issue. The US has taken in more illegals in the last 2 years (including unknown migrants) than the population of Israel.
Doubtful. The majority of Jews in Israel are Mizrahim ("Arab Jews"), they have an IQ of 90, equivalent to Hispanics and Iraqis. Of the Ashkenazim (European Jews), many are in fact Hasidim which means they have little to no secular education and are sustained by welfare. Hasidim are currently 15% of Israel's population and more then double every generation, in 20 years they will be 30% of the population. There is a small elite of secular Ashkenazim that would be economically appealing to any country that isn't outwardly anti-semetic, but this still leaves millions of Jews in Israel. The vast majority of the economically productive and high-skilled Jews already settled in the United States generations ago, those who didn't was because they didn't make the cut.
"The real reason I’m critical of Israel is it is trying to draw the US into the region. Indeed the vast majority of its policies and belligerence presumes and demands US backing to a degree that no American concerned about their own national interests should find acceptable."
Good call.
Nice write-up.
But, it's none of our business.
Israel and it's security, people, politics, culture, etc. have nothing to do with the USA.
There are dozens of regional conflicts, with roots going back centuries and millennia around the world. None of them are our business.
If Israel can't get along with its neighbors, then they need to find a way that they can. Without American gold or blood.
Thanks Kulak, bizarre as always but also very thorough and insightful. Excellent.
As merely an aside, I did have a thought regarding these lines:
"Imagine how the US would feel if a country like Cuba was trying to displace what proportionate to the population would be 6 MILLION armed and terror-prone El Salvadorians into the US, and will inevitably start decades of wars on America’s door step?
Doubtful it would politely allow it."
Actually, the US is allowing it, millions per year, and the instigators are various central American nations, most importantly Mexico.
Maybe the changes will increase the West's native population? The West has eliminated ethnic citizenship in favor of civic citizenship so even it's native born population will include non-natives. Maybe we are witnessing the ethnogensis in real time and the beginnings of a new world. Just as France/the French were born, maybe now it's the beginnings of a new people.
Pretty good analysis. I wrote a similar assessment, though much briefer, of Israeli military capabilities as a comment on Simplicius' substack. The Israelis are in a bind, no doubt, and completely dependent on the U.S. . U.S. support is different with Israel than Ukraine. There are an enormous number of Jews holding Israeli sympathies in leadership roles in the U.S. government, whereas Ukraine is pretty much the work of Nuland and the small band of neo-con friends of her husband, Kagan. Wealthy Jewish oligarchs fund most U.S. political campaigns. so there is much more opportunities for political grift than merely skimming some payments to Ukraine from FTX bitcoin transactions using corrupt crypto-currency traders. Also, the Schofield Bible crowd of Christian Evangelicals is far more committed to Israel than Ukraine.
However, as the ability to print money comes to end, however, and the consequences of de-industrialization begin to manifest in the U.S., even the most die-hard Evangelical support for Israel may dry up. Remember a majority of these Evangelicals attend churches that preach the prosperity gospel. Without the promise of prosperity, they have no congregations to soak up their Zionist rantings.
As you point out, however, the U.S. is stretched far too thin, stirring up problems everywhere in the world with a military that is smaller by the day and less combat capable than ever. Moreover, even the growing cluster of fat keyboard warriors that the U.S. promotes to engorge to its enormous cadre of generals must realize that a U.S. CV battle group is helpless against hypersonic missiles, which Russia could supply to Iran easily, and Iran to Hezbollah. If Britain can give Storm Shadows to Ukraine with impunity to sink Russian ships in the Black Sea, why would Russia not supply Iran with Kinzhals for Hezbollah to sink U.S. ships?
We all remember the U.S. meme-crowd flooding social media with Ukranians flags just 18 months ago. Now where does Ukraine sit in the list of U.S. priorities, and how much longer can Ukraine receive the funding it needs to keep its war effort going? There is nothing to stop the U.S. from abandoning Israel as it has so many allies in the past. It does not help that Jewish oligarchs, like Soros, have done so much to dismantle the U.S. and feed anti-semitism. Israel should learn a lesson from Ukraine. Make peace now before the tide turns and fickle U.S. public opinion turns.
Or not. Based in large part on the fact that I was born in 1949 it is of no matter in any long term sense if Israel makes peace this time around or not. It is a war state constantly in a state of war only varying in being open and declared or behind the scenes and undeclared. One thing is for certain, Israel’s government should never depend entirely on the government(s) of the now, in my opinion, former US for its existence and neither should anyone else. Here’s hoping Taiwan has its own nukes. Just sayin’.
If you were born in 1949, then you are probably not old enough to remember the last time that the U.S. actually helped an ally: South Korea. Since then, the list of allies that the U.S. has abandoned and left to die is very long. In fact, it has been the only constant in U.S. foreign policy: stir up some group, often radical and half-crazed (like the Banderites in Ukraine) with the promise of U.S. support and then leave these folk to die and twist in the wind at the first sign of real trouble. Who now remembers that Manuel Noriega was once put into to power by the CIA before being removed by the U.S. military? Who now remembers the series of governments that the U.S. installed in South Vietnam before finally leaving all of them there to their fate at the hands of the communist North? Who now remembers that Saddam Hussein received U.S. support against Iran? That Al-Qaeda and Osama bin Laden were creations of the CIA to battle the Soviets in Afghanistan? That the CIA promoted the counter revolutionary invasion of Cuba only to let all those men be captured on the beach at the Bay of Pigs?
Is it any surprise then that Hamas was originally a U.S./Israel creation? And should Israel expect to be treated any differently than any of these other U.S. allies not matter how many Jewish oligarchs fund U.S. politicians?
I’m reasonably certain I was 😏. You are correct in that my first pet was a Doberman war dog in the service of the US Ranger Airborne Battalion in Korea. He came to my family by a circuitous route after his handler was killed. Ranger, so named, was, indeed, my only personal connection to that first of the several MIC motivated wars so ably foreseen by WWII Generals Butler and Eisenhower. The rest followed as predictably as are earthquakes; you really don’t know when but you have a pretty good idea of where and that is about all you know. This defines the Mid East through virtually its whole history btw especially during my time on earth. Awaking on October 7 I verified I still had a pulse and upon hearing the news of yet another sneaky attack on Israel rolled over and went back to sleep with the strains of We Didn’t Start the Fire by Billy Joel in my mind’s ears with the words of that soon to be classic of sarcastic Brit wit, I’ve No More Fucks to Give, circulating around that dusty attic head of mine upon my second return to consciousness for the day.
Just do me a kindness and don’t fuck up the whole world until I don’t need it anymore would you? It really wouldn’t be a “final solution” to your perceived problems with Jewish oligarchs to exterminate them. They would only be replaced by other political and economic parasites in the disguises 🥸 of yet other isms that host humans are susceptible to.
And stay off my fucking lawn!!! I didn’t have lazic surgery on my eyes just to read this stuff. 😈
> Who now remembers the series of governments that the U.S. installed in South Vietnam before finally leaving all of them there to their fate at the hands of the communist North?
After the Communist supported anti-war movement managed to gain sufficient influence.
But in any case the US has always had a homegrown pacifist movement going all the way back to William Penn's Quakers that has tried to sabotage every war the US got involved in.
> Who now remembers that Saddam Hussein received U.S. support against Iran?
I recall our policy towards that war as formulated by Henry Kissinger was "It's a pity both sides can't lose".
> That Al-Qaeda and Osama bin Laden were creations of the CIA to battle the Soviets in Afghanistan?
Who then came up with the inspired idea of biting their former patron.
The big PR problem for Israel is that Gaza is a no-win situation of their own creation. Given the nature of the Gaza strip, any air bombing campaign will cause tremendous civilian casualties, exactly what is happening now.
When people object to this, the Israeli response is to say "Gaza is a dense urban area and Hamas hides among the population." Which is of course true, but the next question is how 2 million people came to be in a 140 square mile area surrounded by a concrete wall and guarded by the Israeli army, and how did Hamas come to exist, and the answer to both questions is bad for Israel.
This conflict has also starkly illustrated how many American elites, many of whom are either Jewish themselves or are heavily influenced by the zionist lobby in the US, are quick to support Israel unconditionally regardless of American interests, while the majority of the population wants nothing to do with this conflict (supporters for Israel in the US also seem to skew older, so this will only increase). Americans are waking up to the fact that their country sends billions of $$ every year to Israel and in return all they get is dragged into regional feuds they have no interest in.
I agree with the thesis of the article that the future is not bright for Israel.
> Which is of course true, but the next question is how 2 million people came to be in a 140 square mile area surrounded by a concrete wall
The wall got gradually built up in response to previous terror attacks, and no one, not even their fellow Arab states, want to take Palestinian refugees.
You still didn't answer how the people of Gaza got there. Answer -- they were ethnically cleansed from other parts of Palestine. I have a friend whose family was from Jaffa and expelled into Gaza by Zionist militias. 50 of her relatives have been killed by Israel's bombing in the past month. They wouldn't be there had some Zionists not shown up at her family's village and forced them out at gunpoint.
You lost me after the comparison of the Israel/US relationship to Azerbaijani/Turkey. That and calling the Hamas attack tactically impressive.
They flew paragliders and machine-gunned down innocent civilians. Their is nothing tactically impressive about a killing spree that a bunch of 12 years could have carried out.
I don't think 12 year olds are carrying out paraglider assaults against countries with advanced air forces and surveillance, across prepared walls and defenses, in the most noteworthy glider raid since Ebben Emanuel
Given the fact that Gaza is surrounded by a wall, monitored by state of the art electronic sytems, and guarded by a conventionally superior military force, it is actually quite impressive that Hamas managed to launch an attack in force and cause the amount of destruction it did.
'Imagine how the US would feel if a country like Cuba was trying to displace what proportionate to the population would be 6 MILLION armed and terror-prone El Salvadorians into the US, and will inevitably start decades of wars on America’s door step?'
OK. I guess, considering it is actually happening. Not all Salvadorans, but millions of military aged young men, from all corners have been let in. Look at the size of the Pro-Palastinian protests. I fear Jan 6th was nothing compared to what is on its way.
When a nation of 9 million people survives, even though surrounded by a billion people who want to kill all its inhabitants and wipe it off the face of the earth, there's only one explanation. If ever the U.S. is done with Israel, God will be done with the U.S.
And when Israel falls, what will happen to your religious beliefs? You will be shattered and lose faith. Countries rise and fall all the time. It is a historical process. Israel has been propped up by the world's biggest superpower and facing adversaries that were deeply divided. Once either of those situations change, the military reality changes. It is not mysticism, but the laws of history, strategy and economics.
As the U.S. inches closer and closer to losing its superpower and world reserve currency status, its peripheries will come under increasing strain -- i.e. Israel, Taiwan, Japan, South Korea, control over Europe, etc. The U.S. population has no appetite for another boots-on-ground Middle Eastern war after the disasters of Afghanistan and Iraq, no matter how hard Fox News tries to shill it onto the retarded masses. Also, the West seems to have no counter to cheap drones at this point, and Iran is the master of them (and hence their proxies are benefitting).
Furthermore, Israel is unable to decisively win a war against its neighbors because the illusion that Hamas/Hezbollah are somehow divorced from the population that supports them is completely nonsensical, yet Israel cannot punish the non-combatant populations without incurring a level of PR hits that could put its existence at risk (given it basically relies fully on the U.S. for its existence). It's best possibility would be to push the Gazan population out of Gaza, but no one wants to take them given how difficult they are (see the instability in Egypt, Jordan, Lebanon etc. that they cause). Not a single Middle East country will offer the Palestinians citizenship or refuge, and it would be beyond foolish for the West to try to take them in.
Definitely a grim situation for Israel moving forward.
> Also, the West seems to have no counter to cheap drones at this point,
Well one counter is to use one's own cheap drones.
Exactly.
I found it very easy to predict their use in this fashion as did many teenage boys in this country from the very beginning of the drone development. So did our venerable and, oh, so very trustworthy FBI. 🤣
I can debate an awful lot of points in this article, but Kulak raises a lot of points that we should consider.
Pray that she is wrong.
But history would suggest that there is at least a possibility of some of this being right.
And both political and military leaders need to keep this in mind.
Israel needs to win every war.
The Arabs only need to win once.
If you think that there is a lot of antisemitism now, think about a world where 7 millions Israeli Jews are looking for a home.
The world would more readily take in Israeli Jews rather than Palestinians, that's for sure. I'd expect there'd be competition among the US and Western European countries to take them in. The US could absorb them all without issue. The US has taken in more illegals in the last 2 years (including unknown migrants) than the population of Israel.
Doubtful. The majority of Jews in Israel are Mizrahim ("Arab Jews"), they have an IQ of 90, equivalent to Hispanics and Iraqis. Of the Ashkenazim (European Jews), many are in fact Hasidim which means they have little to no secular education and are sustained by welfare. Hasidim are currently 15% of Israel's population and more then double every generation, in 20 years they will be 30% of the population. There is a small elite of secular Ashkenazim that would be economically appealing to any country that isn't outwardly anti-semetic, but this still leaves millions of Jews in Israel. The vast majority of the economically productive and high-skilled Jews already settled in the United States generations ago, those who didn't was because they didn't make the cut.
Wow. You obviously wrote this very quickly (lots of spelling errors and such) but overall the analysis was amazing. Thanks.
Ya this should be up to date as of October 30th-ish...
I'll edit it to be slightly more readable after some sleep
"The real reason I’m critical of Israel is it is trying to draw the US into the region. Indeed the vast majority of its policies and belligerence presumes and demands US backing to a degree that no American concerned about their own national interests should find acceptable."
Good call.
Nice write-up.
But, it's none of our business.
Israel and it's security, people, politics, culture, etc. have nothing to do with the USA.
There are dozens of regional conflicts, with roots going back centuries and millennia around the world. None of them are our business.
If Israel can't get along with its neighbors, then they need to find a way that they can. Without American gold or blood.
Enough is enough.
AMEN!!!!
AGREED.
Thanks Kulak, bizarre as always but also very thorough and insightful. Excellent.
As merely an aside, I did have a thought regarding these lines:
"Imagine how the US would feel if a country like Cuba was trying to displace what proportionate to the population would be 6 MILLION armed and terror-prone El Salvadorians into the US, and will inevitably start decades of wars on America’s door step?
Doubtful it would politely allow it."
Actually, the US is allowing it, millions per year, and the instigators are various central American nations, most importantly Mexico.
I mean yes... but that's another article. Also sadly the US doesn't have someone like president Sisi making sure it doesn't happen
> it is one of the great bizzare ironies that fertility almost universally INCREASES the more likely a people are to suffer violent death
I wonder what this says about the nature of the West's demographic crisis.
Maybe the changes will increase the West's native population? The West has eliminated ethnic citizenship in favor of civic citizenship so even it's native born population will include non-natives. Maybe we are witnessing the ethnogensis in real time and the beginnings of a new world. Just as France/the French were born, maybe now it's the beginnings of a new people.
"Imagine how the US would feel if a country like Cuba was trying to displace..."
We don't need to imagine that. It's happening on the borders right now. Not from Cuba but from many nations.
From every single continent. Africans, Eastern Europeans, SE Asians, East Asians, etc. Come one, come all.
Pretty good analysis. I wrote a similar assessment, though much briefer, of Israeli military capabilities as a comment on Simplicius' substack. The Israelis are in a bind, no doubt, and completely dependent on the U.S. . U.S. support is different with Israel than Ukraine. There are an enormous number of Jews holding Israeli sympathies in leadership roles in the U.S. government, whereas Ukraine is pretty much the work of Nuland and the small band of neo-con friends of her husband, Kagan. Wealthy Jewish oligarchs fund most U.S. political campaigns. so there is much more opportunities for political grift than merely skimming some payments to Ukraine from FTX bitcoin transactions using corrupt crypto-currency traders. Also, the Schofield Bible crowd of Christian Evangelicals is far more committed to Israel than Ukraine.
However, as the ability to print money comes to end, however, and the consequences of de-industrialization begin to manifest in the U.S., even the most die-hard Evangelical support for Israel may dry up. Remember a majority of these Evangelicals attend churches that preach the prosperity gospel. Without the promise of prosperity, they have no congregations to soak up their Zionist rantings.
As you point out, however, the U.S. is stretched far too thin, stirring up problems everywhere in the world with a military that is smaller by the day and less combat capable than ever. Moreover, even the growing cluster of fat keyboard warriors that the U.S. promotes to engorge to its enormous cadre of generals must realize that a U.S. CV battle group is helpless against hypersonic missiles, which Russia could supply to Iran easily, and Iran to Hezbollah. If Britain can give Storm Shadows to Ukraine with impunity to sink Russian ships in the Black Sea, why would Russia not supply Iran with Kinzhals for Hezbollah to sink U.S. ships?
We all remember the U.S. meme-crowd flooding social media with Ukranians flags just 18 months ago. Now where does Ukraine sit in the list of U.S. priorities, and how much longer can Ukraine receive the funding it needs to keep its war effort going? There is nothing to stop the U.S. from abandoning Israel as it has so many allies in the past. It does not help that Jewish oligarchs, like Soros, have done so much to dismantle the U.S. and feed anti-semitism. Israel should learn a lesson from Ukraine. Make peace now before the tide turns and fickle U.S. public opinion turns.
Or not. Based in large part on the fact that I was born in 1949 it is of no matter in any long term sense if Israel makes peace this time around or not. It is a war state constantly in a state of war only varying in being open and declared or behind the scenes and undeclared. One thing is for certain, Israel’s government should never depend entirely on the government(s) of the now, in my opinion, former US for its existence and neither should anyone else. Here’s hoping Taiwan has its own nukes. Just sayin’.
If you were born in 1949, then you are probably not old enough to remember the last time that the U.S. actually helped an ally: South Korea. Since then, the list of allies that the U.S. has abandoned and left to die is very long. In fact, it has been the only constant in U.S. foreign policy: stir up some group, often radical and half-crazed (like the Banderites in Ukraine) with the promise of U.S. support and then leave these folk to die and twist in the wind at the first sign of real trouble. Who now remembers that Manuel Noriega was once put into to power by the CIA before being removed by the U.S. military? Who now remembers the series of governments that the U.S. installed in South Vietnam before finally leaving all of them there to their fate at the hands of the communist North? Who now remembers that Saddam Hussein received U.S. support against Iran? That Al-Qaeda and Osama bin Laden were creations of the CIA to battle the Soviets in Afghanistan? That the CIA promoted the counter revolutionary invasion of Cuba only to let all those men be captured on the beach at the Bay of Pigs?
Is it any surprise then that Hamas was originally a U.S./Israel creation? And should Israel expect to be treated any differently than any of these other U.S. allies not matter how many Jewish oligarchs fund U.S. politicians?
I’m reasonably certain I was 😏. You are correct in that my first pet was a Doberman war dog in the service of the US Ranger Airborne Battalion in Korea. He came to my family by a circuitous route after his handler was killed. Ranger, so named, was, indeed, my only personal connection to that first of the several MIC motivated wars so ably foreseen by WWII Generals Butler and Eisenhower. The rest followed as predictably as are earthquakes; you really don’t know when but you have a pretty good idea of where and that is about all you know. This defines the Mid East through virtually its whole history btw especially during my time on earth. Awaking on October 7 I verified I still had a pulse and upon hearing the news of yet another sneaky attack on Israel rolled over and went back to sleep with the strains of We Didn’t Start the Fire by Billy Joel in my mind’s ears with the words of that soon to be classic of sarcastic Brit wit, I’ve No More Fucks to Give, circulating around that dusty attic head of mine upon my second return to consciousness for the day.
Just do me a kindness and don’t fuck up the whole world until I don’t need it anymore would you? It really wouldn’t be a “final solution” to your perceived problems with Jewish oligarchs to exterminate them. They would only be replaced by other political and economic parasites in the disguises 🥸 of yet other isms that host humans are susceptible to.
And stay off my fucking lawn!!! I didn’t have lazic surgery on my eyes just to read this stuff. 😈
> Who now remembers the series of governments that the U.S. installed in South Vietnam before finally leaving all of them there to their fate at the hands of the communist North?
After the Communist supported anti-war movement managed to gain sufficient influence.
But in any case the US has always had a homegrown pacifist movement going all the way back to William Penn's Quakers that has tried to sabotage every war the US got involved in.
> Who now remembers that Saddam Hussein received U.S. support against Iran?
I recall our policy towards that war as formulated by Henry Kissinger was "It's a pity both sides can't lose".
> That Al-Qaeda and Osama bin Laden were creations of the CIA to battle the Soviets in Afghanistan?
Who then came up with the inspired idea of biting their former patron.
The big PR problem for Israel is that Gaza is a no-win situation of their own creation. Given the nature of the Gaza strip, any air bombing campaign will cause tremendous civilian casualties, exactly what is happening now.
When people object to this, the Israeli response is to say "Gaza is a dense urban area and Hamas hides among the population." Which is of course true, but the next question is how 2 million people came to be in a 140 square mile area surrounded by a concrete wall and guarded by the Israeli army, and how did Hamas come to exist, and the answer to both questions is bad for Israel.
This conflict has also starkly illustrated how many American elites, many of whom are either Jewish themselves or are heavily influenced by the zionist lobby in the US, are quick to support Israel unconditionally regardless of American interests, while the majority of the population wants nothing to do with this conflict (supporters for Israel in the US also seem to skew older, so this will only increase). Americans are waking up to the fact that their country sends billions of $$ every year to Israel and in return all they get is dragged into regional feuds they have no interest in.
I agree with the thesis of the article that the future is not bright for Israel.
> Which is of course true, but the next question is how 2 million people came to be in a 140 square mile area surrounded by a concrete wall
The wall got gradually built up in response to previous terror attacks, and no one, not even their fellow Arab states, want to take Palestinian refugees.
You still didn't answer how the people of Gaza got there. Answer -- they were ethnically cleansed from other parts of Palestine. I have a friend whose family was from Jaffa and expelled into Gaza by Zionist militias. 50 of her relatives have been killed by Israel's bombing in the past month. They wouldn't be there had some Zionists not shown up at her family's village and forced them out at gunpoint.
Your writing is something else entirely. Maddeningly good.
You lost me after the comparison of the Israel/US relationship to Azerbaijani/Turkey. That and calling the Hamas attack tactically impressive.
They flew paragliders and machine-gunned down innocent civilians. Their is nothing tactically impressive about a killing spree that a bunch of 12 years could have carried out.
I don't think 12 year olds are carrying out paraglider assaults against countries with advanced air forces and surveillance, across prepared walls and defenses, in the most noteworthy glider raid since Ebben Emanuel
https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/warnings-about-alarming-pre-oct-7-hamas-activity-ignored-say-israeli-surveillance
Given the fact that Gaza is surrounded by a wall, monitored by state of the art electronic sytems, and guarded by a conventionally superior military force, it is actually quite impressive that Hamas managed to launch an attack in force and cause the amount of destruction it did.
'Imagine how the US would feel if a country like Cuba was trying to displace what proportionate to the population would be 6 MILLION armed and terror-prone El Salvadorians into the US, and will inevitably start decades of wars on America’s door step?'
OK. I guess, considering it is actually happening. Not all Salvadorans, but millions of military aged young men, from all corners have been let in. Look at the size of the Pro-Palastinian protests. I fear Jan 6th was nothing compared to what is on its way.
When a nation of 9 million people survives, even though surrounded by a billion people who want to kill all its inhabitants and wipe it off the face of the earth, there's only one explanation. If ever the U.S. is done with Israel, God will be done with the U.S.
And when Israel falls, what will happen to your religious beliefs? You will be shattered and lose faith. Countries rise and fall all the time. It is a historical process. Israel has been propped up by the world's biggest superpower and facing adversaries that were deeply divided. Once either of those situations change, the military reality changes. It is not mysticism, but the laws of history, strategy and economics.
Wow!
That was a lot. Holy Mackerel. Thanks for the report.
Netanyahu is calling for a long conflict.
I am not a military guy, buff, or historian.
I read about Hamas Tunnels, Tactics, Drones, Supplies.....
Hopefully someone with more insights can answer this question.
I saw something tonight that made me wonder. Hundreds of Modified Caterpillar Armored Tractors?
Has anyone considered that the Israelis , despite having already gone into gaza and engaging with Hamas,
Are going to close down and Area, or section, flatten the area, almost like a checkerboard ? One square at a time ?
Of you clear the square, flatten the opening of the tunnel, Close it.
Am I being naive? Sorry.
Incredible analysis. Felt like I was ingesting vitamins via my eyes.
Great piece, but N.S. Lyons might have beaten you to a dissection of the border fence failure: https://theupheaval.substack.com/p/hard-lessons-from-israels-high-tech